{"id":435420,"date":"2024-11-15T11:41:44","date_gmt":"2024-11-15T16:41:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.saturdaydownsouth.com\/?post_type=article&#038;p=435420"},"modified":"2024-11-15T11:43:47","modified_gmt":"2024-11-15T16:43:47","slug":"ogara-how-billy-napier-plan-florida-dj-lagway-offseason-vibe","status":"publish","type":"article","link":"https:\/\/www.saturdaydownsouth.com\/florida-football\/ogara-how-billy-napier-plan-florida-dj-lagway-offseason-vibe\/","title":{"rendered":"O&#8217;Gara: How Billy Napier&#8217;s plan for DJ Lagway could shape Florida&#8217;s offseason vibe"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Based on everything we&#8217;ve heard, I&#8217;d expect DJ Lagway to return from his hamstring injury and play on Saturday against LSU.<\/p>\n<p>The Florida signal-caller &#8220;continues to improve&#8221; (h\/t <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/delatorre\/status\/1856737748427948266\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nick de la Torre<\/a>). And according to coach Billy Napier, he&#8217;s trending in the right direction to be back for an all-important game against the Tigers, who have a 5-year winning streak in the matchup.<\/p>\n<p>In an ideal world, the plan for Lagway would be obvious. LSU has made defending quarterbacks look like they&#8217;re trying to nail jelly to a tree. Since Marcel Reed took over halfway through the 3rd quarter for Texas A&amp;M 2 games ago, LSU has allowed Reed and Alabama&#8217;s Jalen Milroe to gain 247 yards on 21 carries, 7 of which were touchdowns. That&#8217;s 11.8 yards per carry by opposing quarterbacks.<\/p>\n<p>So ideally for Florida, Napier would recognize the obvious, and Lagway would revert into the guy who racked up 2,196 rushing yards as a prized high school recruit in Texas. Lagway would ideally get double-digit designed quarterback runs, and a depleted Florida offense would look to take advantage of LSU&#8217;s Achilles&#8217; heel en route to perhaps a monumental victory both in the short and long terms.<\/p>\n<p>In the short term, a win would perhaps be the difference in Florida earning a bowl berth. In the long term, not only would it impress the bevy of recruits who&#8217;ll be on campus for Saturday&#8217;s showdown, but beating an AP Top 25 team for the 1st time in 14 months would give Napier something tangible to build on this offseason that goes beyond &#8220;we played hard in the middle of the season.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>But that ideal world might be more complicated than that.<\/p>\n<p>You see, there&#8217;s great risk in that game plan. What do you mean? Didn&#8217;t Napier already get a vote of confidence that he&#8217;s returning next season?<\/p>\n<p>Sure, but Saturday will have a major say in Florida&#8217;s offseason vibe, no matter how it turns out.<\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s start with the worst-case scenario. That would be Lagway suffering another lower-body injury that sidelines him in the spring. As in, that time in which Lagway should be getting all the 1st-team reps and developing a rapport with Florida&#8217;s pass-catchers and being the leader of the program in the post-Graham Mertz era. That&#8217;s significant, especially in the likely event that the Gators are aggressive in recruiting skill players in the transfer portal.<\/p>\n<p>There&#8217;s also the possibility that Florida is more selective in the portal and relies on the development of its underclassmen.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Couple notes on Florida bringing back Napier.<br \/>\nPer ESPN sources, 70-percent of Florida\u2019s NIL money is in freshman and sophomores. There\u2019s a feeling in the program that star freshman QB DJ Lagway is aligned with Napier, and Napier can grow this core of young players. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/SwKdmNSbKd\">pic.twitter.com\/SwKdmNSbKd<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Pete Thamel (@PeteThamel) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PeteThamel\/status\/1854557141371425279?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 7, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Now is the time when I make the joke &#8220;is 65% of that NIL money tied to Lagway?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Sorry. We can move on.<\/p>\n<p>Lagway has looked the part so far. There&#8217;s no denying that he played a major part in the vote of confidence that Napier got. It&#8217;s one thing to get a vote of confidence from an athletic director. It&#8217;s another to beat a respected SEC team.<\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s not a slight at Kentucky, who had Florida&#8217;s number until Lagway led the Gators to a blowout win on Oct. 19. But UK is 3-6 this year. LSU is the inverse of that. Technically, LSU <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/AlwaysCFB\/status\/1856379958966530357\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">still has a path<\/a> to an SEC Championship. Lagway can play spoiler and end that.<\/p>\n<p>Florida won&#8217;t just be trying to play spoiler. The Gators&#8217; bowl chances change drastically based on Saturday&#8217;s result. Lose, and Florida will need to win both games and beat an emerging, potentially Playoff-bound Ole Miss squad, who&#8217;ll be coming off a bye week after pounding Georgia. But if Florida gets past LSU, the path to a bowl game instead goes through Florida State, who fired both coordinators amid a historically disastrous 1-win season.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;But bowl games don&#8217;t matter.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Agree to disagree. They might not matter to everyone, but for a program that&#8217;s loaded with underclassmen who would stand to benefit from a couple of extra weeks of practice together with a pressure-free postseason game, a bowl game matters.<\/p>\n<p>If Napier can navigate that and finish 7-6, he can sell his program differently than the previous 2 years. There&#8217;s some proof of concept in having a winning season against what many dubbed &#8220;the toughest schedule in college football history.&#8221; That&#8217;s not even digging into the wrath of injuries that Florida endured in the latter half of the season.<\/p>\n<p>Lagway has this opportunity as a result of that. Perhaps the injuries throughout the rest of the roster will make upsetting LSU too tall of a task. That could be the takeaway by day&#8217;s end, and perhaps a conservative game plan with Lagway will be what holds Florida back. If that&#8217;s the case, a 2nd consecutive bowl-less season will be staring Florida in the face. That hasn&#8217;t happened since 1985-86. If that dubious distinction follows Napier into a pivotal offseason, you can bank on it showing up in every hot-seat article that prominently features the Florida coach (again).<\/p>\n<p>If Napier is going to change that conversation, it feels like Lagway&#8217;s performance on Saturday against LSU has to be the start.<\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s see if that ideal world exists.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Gators play their most important game of the year Saturday vs. LSU, and their quarterback will go a long way toward determining their coach&#8217;s future.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":186671,"featured_media":435430,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","format":"standard","tags":[],"class_list":["post-435420","article","type-article","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","featured_articles-home-featured","article_types-scheduled","series_tags-connor","teams-florida-football"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.saturdaydownsouth.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article\/435420"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.saturdaydownsouth.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.saturdaydownsouth.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/article"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.saturdaydownsouth.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/186671"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.saturdaydownsouth.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=435420"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.saturdaydownsouth.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/435430"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.saturdaydownsouth.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=435420"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.saturdaydownsouth.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=435420"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}