Week 12 of the college football season is almost here.<\/p>\n
Last week in this piece<\/a>, we broke down Penn State’s history in bouncing back from a loss, Indiana’s dominance against the number and more.<\/p>\n Here are 5 betting trends to know for Week 12:<\/p>\n Tennessee is a 10-point underdog against Georgia this weekend, according to the latest lines from BetMGM<\/a>.<\/p>\n This historically has not been a good spot to back Tennessee during the Josh Heupel<\/a> era. There have been 7 previous instances of Tennessee being an underdog of 6 points or more since Heupel took over in 2021. Tennessee is 1-6 against the spread (and 1-6 straight up) in those games.<\/p>\n Tennessee’s lone win under these circumstances came back in 2022 when the Vols beat Alabama at home as 9-point underdogs.<\/p>\n Attention Tennessee residents! Get in on the action this weekend using one of our top recommended Tennessee betting apps<\/a>. Multiple apps are currently offering sign-up bonuses for new users!<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n Ohio State is coming into familiar territory this weekend as it faces Northwestern as 28.5-point favorites (via FanDuel<\/a>).<\/p>\n In the Ryan Day era, the Buckeyes are covering at a 60% clip (32-21-2) when favored by 10 points or more. That’s a pretty significant sample size considering Day is still a little under 6 years into his head coaching career.<\/p>\n Day also beats the number at a similar rate when Ohio State is favored by at least 20 points, albeit over a smaller sample of games (18-13-1). The same is true when looking at games where Ohio State is favored by 10+ points on the road (17-11-1).<\/p>\n Penn State will make the trip to West Lafayette this week to take on a struggling Purdue team. Unsurprisingly, the Nittany Lions are favored by 28.5 points this weekend, per bet365<\/a>.<\/p>\n Historically, this has been a comfortable spot for the Nittany Lions. Since the start of the James Franklin era in 2014, Penn State is 22-13-1 against the spread as a road favorite. That’s a cover rate of nearly 63%.<\/p>\n Penn State has also won 17 consecutive games as a favorite of 7 points or more. The program’s last loss in this spot was back in 2021 when the Nittany Lions infamously lost to Illinois 20-18 in 9 overtimes.<\/p>\n LSU is coming off of an embarrassing performance at home against Alabama last weekend.<\/p>\n Throughout Brian Kelly’s history<\/a> as an FBS head coach, however, he’s typically had teams that bounced back from tough defeats. Kelly has posted an above .500 ATS record in games following a loss at all 4 of his head coaching jobs, including LSU. Collectively, he is 41-24 against the spread in that spot. That’s a cover rate north of 63%.<\/p>\n Kelly’s teams are also 19-15 against the spread (3-0 at LSU) when favored in a game immediately following a loss. The Tigers are 4-point road favorites this weekend against Florida, per Caesars<\/a>.<\/p>\nTennessee as a big underdog<\/h3>\n
Ryan Day as a double-digit favorite<\/h3>\n
James Franklin on the road<\/h3>\n
Brian Kelly off of a loss<\/h3>\n
Hugh Freeze as a money line favorite<\/h3>\n